Weather outlook
What this shows
The compound stress score aggregates
weather deviation across the wheat growth cycle for each DEFRA region, against
the long-run regional baseline. Positive = worse than baseline. It's the
headline weather feature behind today's call.
Compound stress by region
| Region | Compound stress | Stressed stages |
|---|---|---|
| North West & Merseyside | +1.9 ← | 1 |
| Wales | +1.3 ← | 1 |
| South West | +0.4 | 0 |
| Scotland | +0.3 | 0 |
| Northern Ireland | +0.2 | 0 |
| South East & London | +0.1 | 0 |
| West Midlands | -0.1 | 0 |
| Eastern | -0.3 | 0 |
| East Midlands | -0.4 | 0 |
| North East | -0.8 | 0 |
| Yorkshire & The Humber | -0.9 | 0 |
← marks regions with one or more stages flagged stressed.
Related: Today's call · Methodology · Track record