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# For commodity desks & funds

A UK-wheat directional overlay, daily, with a public walk-forward track record. CropIntel is a clean, auditable signal you can size into a position or use as a confirmation layer.

## Why it matters to you

**The decision.** UK wheat exposure, outright or as a MATIF spread, benefits from an independent yield view that moves before the official balance sheet does. CropIntel is that view, regionally resolved.

**Where the edge bites.** Daily directional calls, each tradeable call carrying a published walk-forward hit rate. The consensus filter means the system only emits a call when its components agree, fewer, cleaner signals, and it stays silent when it has no conviction.

**Confirmation layer.** Even if you have your own view, a real-time farmer-sentiment overlay that catches disease and weather stress weeks before official data is a useful independent cross-check.

## The value, concretely

Sizing the edge

What it's worth to you: on a £20m UK-wheat-linked book, a directional edge that's right 62% of the time versus a coin-flip is the difference between scratch and a seven-figure PnL contribution over a season, in a market where most fundamental signals are coincident, not leading. (38 of 61 conviction calls correct, p<0.0001; bad-year subset 24 of 26.) Backtest the public record yourself before you commit a penny. Illustrative of the value at stake, not a guarantee.

## See it for yourself

- Today's per-region call, the live signal, no login.
- Track record, 62.3% walk-forward, fully public, independently auditable.
- Case studies, 2019 (8/9 correct), 2023 (6/6), 2018 (the honest miss).
- Methodology, what the model uses, without the secret sauce.

## Questions

**Can we see the track record before engaging?**
Yes, it's fully public at /track-record, walk-forward, with the methodology disclaimers and the honest 2018 miss. Nothing gated.

**How tradeable is the price call?**
We publish the yield call and what it historically implies for price direction, analysis, not a buy/sell recommendation. You translate it into a position.

**What would we be buying?**
The whole asset: the model, the curated corpus, the codebase, and the validated track record, with full IP assignment. Talk to us.

Acquire the system

The live signal is public. What's not public is the engine, the curated
UK arable practitioner corpus, and the methodology behind the 62.3%: the
defensible IP. The whole system is available to **acquire** by a
strategic buyer, with full IP assignment. See
[the opportunity](/the-opportunity), or email
[alastair@hurricane.works](mailto:alastair@hurricane.works).

Also for: [grain merchants](/for/grain-merchants) · [insurers](/for/insurers) · [data publishers](/for/data-publishers) · [agritech platforms](/for/agritech)

Related: [all use cases](/for/) · [The opportunity](/the-opportunity) · [Track record](/track-record) · [About](/about)